Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 52.3%
Oui 52.3%Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète24 avr. 23, 16:42 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Will the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves be above 55% in the 2029 data release or before?
- "Yes" argument: There are no remotely worthy successors.
- The next most common reserve, the Euro, is likely in worse shape than the dollar.
- "No" argument: "Proponents of [dollar] regime change point to the steady fall in the dollar’s share of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves.
- That stood at around 59% in 2022, down from over 70% in 1999, according to the International Monetary Fund." - https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/global-markets-breakingviews-2023-02-28/
- Truth source will be IMF COFER survey data, or nearest equivalent if the IMF doesn't report on this by then.
