Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAI 81.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 avr. 25, 05:39 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES to AI if the majority 75%+ of work was done by an AI
- Resolves YES to humans if the team who creates it does not disclose significant AI usage
- Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Outcome for Non-Occurrence:
- If no room temperature superconductor is created by 2031, the market will be resolved as N/A and neither outcome (AI or humans) applies.
