Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 78%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète3 avr. 23, 04:55 UTC2 mars 27, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume total
- 459,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 459,8 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume total
- 123,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 384,9 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 161,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1 k €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets? doit être résolu le 2 mars 2027.
- Comment Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.