Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.5%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète29 mai 26, 19:47 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.
- Resolves no as soon as a non-Democrat wins any of these elections.
- In the unlikely event that a candidate wins the majority of the electoral vote but isn't inaugurated due to faithless electors or other post-election shenanigans, the original electoral vote winner is counted as having "won." If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral vote and it goes to the House, the winner in the House is considered to have won.
