Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics Élection

Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (46.3%)

Résolu: 19 août 2026, 08:24

Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur

CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 53.7%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour hier

Obsolète

12 août 26, 4:5518 août 26, 23:59

Chronologie des Probabilités

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

Non

53.7%

Oui

46.3%

Règles

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics Élection

Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (46.3%)

Résolu: 19 août 2026, 08:24

Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur

CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 53.7%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour hier

Obsolète

12 août 26, 4:5518 août 26, 23:59

Chronologie des Probabilités

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

Non

53.7%

Oui

46.3%

Règles

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 20 août 2026.
Quand Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? doit être résolu le 18 août 2026.
Comment Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

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