La capitalisation boursière de Tesla (TSLA) atteindra-t-elle 8,6 billions de dollars américains avant la fin de l'année 2035 ?
EquitiesCustomTechCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate9aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.4%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète5 sept. 25, 13:03 UTC30 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above___?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1400 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - bear case)
Manifold MarketsTesla (TSLA) closes week of Sep 7 at ___?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of September?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill TSLA outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This is the valuation that triggers the maximum bonus for Musk in the next 10 years (US$1.03-trillion).
- What are the odds it is reached?
- Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on total return for a TSLA shareholder (dividends reinvested), not simply Tesla's nominal market cap.
- The target is equivalent to achieving 8.6/1.23 times the current share price (buying at $392.65 today).
- Key scenarios for edge cases:
- New share issuance: Only per-share value is tracked; dilution from new shares does not count toward the $8.6T target
