Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 50.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
19 sept. 26, 03:42 UTC25 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 9, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 16, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 2, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhat will SpaceX (SPCX) hit Week of September 21 2026?
PolymarketWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of September 21 above___?
PolymarketRègles
INTENTIONALLY CLOSES EARLY
- Part of a weekly series tracking SPCX (SpaceX, Nasdaq) against the $150 threshold, following https://manifold.markets/BarryJones/will-spcx-close-at-15000-or-higher (created 2026-09-18 as a corrected re-run of an earlier market whose closeTime cut off betting a day before the event it asked about).
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA: resolves YES if SPCX closes its regular trading session on Friday, September 25, 2026 at a price of $150.00 or higher.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Based on the official regular-session closing price as reported by a reputable market data source (e.g. Nasdaq, Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, WSJ), checked after market close. closeTime is set for after that day's regular session close, with a buffer for confirmation, so the actual day's trading is fully priced in before betting closes.
- Seeded from SPCX at $152.71, current as of market creation, using the same distance-to-strike fair-value model as the account's SPCX Alpha Watch routine (see NOTES.md), not an arbitrary guess.
Marchés ouverts
EquitiesPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt24%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 753,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 53,6 k €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes56.5%
- No43.5%
- Volume total
- 43 k €
- Volume 24h
- 42,7 k €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+2.0pt16.4%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99+1.0pt15.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9912.7%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.8pt61.4%
- 8–11B+6.4pt9.9%
- 11–14B-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- 600B+-0.3pt95%
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.8pt4%
- 400–600B-0.1pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?
- Lemonade total customers in Q3
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? (Closes early) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? (Closes early) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? (Closes early) doit être résolu le 25 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? (Closes early) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : INTENTIONALLY CLOSES EARLY