Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 26, 18:01 UTC9 févr. 27, 18:01 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if South Africa's platinum group metals (PGM) production for the full year 2025 declines by more than 5% compared to 2024, as reported by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) in their official mining production release, typically published in early 2026.
- This threshold is significant due to South Africa's critical role in the global PGM supply chain, particularly affecting palladium and platinum markets.
- A decline of this magnitude could tighten global supply and impact prices.
- The data will be sourced from Stats SA's annual mining production report.
- Note that this market will consider the total PGM output, not individual metals within the group.
- Source: Article
