Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Matières premièresDailyChineMacro et économie15j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.1%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 14:27 UTC31 oct. 26, 04:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceeds 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium oxide (Sm2O3, 3N) spot price in the Western market (CIF Rotterdam or equivalent ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm2O3 spot price >= 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm2O3 spot price < 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium oxide — CIF Rotterdam or Western assessment
- Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm2O3 Western spot assessment
