Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (99%)
Résolu: 13 oct. 2026, 08:08
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
No
À 7 jours
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À 24 heures
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Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 13 oct. 2026, 18:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes4.7%
No95.3%
NonGagné
OuiPerdu
Règles
Silence was climbed by Adam Ondra in 2017, who proposed the grade 9c, the first person to propose that grade.
- By "confirmed" I mean one other climber completes the route and gives it the grade 9c.
- If the second climber gives it a grade different to 9c, market remains open (close date extending as necessary).
- If the grade ends up being really controversial I'll use my own judgment of the balance of opinion of relevant experts to decide if it is reasonable to say it has been "confirmed" 9c.
- (For example, if the second climber gives it 9b+ and the third climber gives it 9c, it's quite likely that I will consider that "confirmed 9c" but I'll try to find out what the consensus among climbers is.)
- If another climb is confirmed 9c first, or if a consensus is formed that Silence is not 9c (either higher or lower) this market resolves NO.
