Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 83.6% au 22 octobre 2026.

Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 83.6%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

23 févr. 23, 00:11 UTC1 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

People in San Francisco are working on launching a public bank: https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-public-bank-17781925.php

Let's estimate the probability that this bank will actually get off the ground.
Will the bank issue one loan before January 1, 2028?
Feb 22, 7:25pm: Will San Francisco have a public bank accept deposits before January 1, 2028? → Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
(Question and description changed because the bank will not initially be able to accept deposits.)