Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 23, 22:06 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
- This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
- Timezone is Eastern time
- Grand jury indictment counts.
