Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 23, 22:06 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
- This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
- Timezone is Eastern time
- Grand jury indictment counts.
Marchés ouverts
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 566,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 548,4 k €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.