Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.3%
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14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard12 janv. 24, 12:44 UTC1 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Manifold Markets2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
Manifold MarketsWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
I'm gonna be strict on "completely".
- My bar is going to be that no more oil is being drilled, and no more coal plants are in operation anywhere in the world.
- Internal combustion engines are fine as long as they're running on carbon-neutral fuel like biofuel.
- Nuclear will also count, since even though it technically isn't renewable, it definitely isn't a fossil fuel.
