Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 24, 12:44 UTC1 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Manifold Markets2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
Manifold MarketsHow many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
KalshiWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
I'm gonna be strict on "completely".
- My bar is going to be that no more oil is being drilled, and no more coal plants are in operation anywhere in the world.
- Internal combustion engines are fine as long as they're running on carbon-neutral fuel like biofuel.
- Nuclear will also count, since even though it technically isn't renewable, it definitely isn't a fossil fuel.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 232,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 66,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6 k €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
- Comment Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I'm gonna be strict on "completely".