Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.2%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
15 sept. 26, 08:18 UTC15 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is any measurable precipitation recorded in New York City on September 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Location/Station of Record: Central Park, NY weather station (Call Sign: KNYC / Station ID: USW00094728).
- Precipitation Threshold: Measurable precipitation is defined as 0.01 inches or greater.
- A recording of 0.00 inches or T (Trace) will resolve to NO.
Marchés ouverts
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+81.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-9.0pt54%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 253 k €
- Volume 24h
- 219,9 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+27.0pt56.4%
- 79° to 80°-11.0pt36.6%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+35.0pt75%
- 94° or above+4.0pt8%
- 88° to 89°-9.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+39.0pt79.6%
- 70° to 71°-28.0pt13.6%
- 74° to 75°-6.0pt3.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- 84° to 85°+4.0pt40.8%
- 86° to 87°+10.0pt28.6%
- 82° to 83°-7.0pt21.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
- 23°C+49.0pt63.1%
- 24°C-3.5pt32%
- 25°C-32.0pt3.9%
+8 résultats de plus
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- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
- Highest temperature in London on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will rain today in New York ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will rain today in New York sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will rain today in New York doit être résolu le 15 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will rain today in New York est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria