Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.8%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète10 févr. 26, 23:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which team will win the 2026 MLS Cup (all 30 teams in market) Polymarket and Kalshi in description
Manifold MarketsWill sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?
Manifold MarketsDoes Barron have a Polymarket or Kalshi account?
Manifold MarketsCEOs of Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold to all mention Hayek in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Markets like "Resolves YES if this market closes at above 50%" or "Resolves NO if the market drops below 10%" or something would qualify.
- The current derivative market on the Jesus Christ market (https://polymarket.com/event/jesus-christ-return-before-2027-odds-5-monday-night-12-1-am) would NOT qualify, but only ever so slightly.
- I will not bet on this market, so I can judge what constitutes whalebait objectively.
