Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
ExchangeOne-OffIACorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète11 août 26, 01:45 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if: OpenAI common stock begins trading on a public exchange on or before December 31, 2026, AND its market capitalization at the close of its first full trading day is ≥ $1.00 trillion USD.
- • Resolves NO if trading has not begun by Dec 31, 2026 (delay, withdrawal, or acquisition all count as NO).
- This is deliberate — the market prices both timing risk and valuation.
- • Market cap = first-day closing price × total shares outstanding as reported by at least two of: Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ, or the exchange itself.
- If outlets split on basic vs. diluted share count, use basic shares outstanding per the final prospectus.
- • Direct listing counts the same as a traditional IPO.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka83%
- Linda Noskova17%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- BTC 15 min · $78,497.72 target
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if: OpenAI common stock begins trading on a public exchange on or before December 31, 2026, AND its market capitalization at the close of its first full trading day is ≥ $1.00 trillion USD.