Will OECD total electricity production by natural gas per month be lower than 200TWh in 2026 at least once?
Matières premièresOne-Off9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète26 mai 26, 16:25 UTC30 juin 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, for at least one calendar month in 2026 (January through December), the total net electricity production from natural gas for the "OECD Total" grouping is strictly lower than 200 TWh (equivalent to 200,000 GWh).
- It resolves to NO if every month in 2026 records natural gas electricity generation at or above this threshold.
- Source of Truth: The market will resolve based on the official dataset published in the International Energy Agency's (IEA) Monthly Electricity Statistics (MES).
- Data Specification: Within the MES database or data browser, the target metric is under the regional grouping "OECD Total" for the fuel source "Natural gas" (net electricity production).
- Timing and Revisions: The market will resolve once the IEA publishes the monthly data for all months of 2026 (expected by spring 2027).