Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.9%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète29 juin 25, 02:11 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)
Manifold MarketsWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?
Manifold MarketsWhen will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL?
KalshiConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiRègles
Completed units, as reported by the planning department.
- 33,974 units were built in 2024.
- https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/1c9138dc24064b2e8142ff156345a719
- https://www.nyc.gov/content/planning/pages/resources?search=housingdatabase#datasets
- https://www.osc.ny.gov/files/reports/pdf/report-24-2025.pdf
- Specific forecasts:
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Completed units, as reported by the planning department.