Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.2%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète27 oct. 23, 13:39 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRègles
Must be compatible with current console generation, i.e. switch classic/lite/OLED.
- Resolves on release, not announce etc. I expect HD but I'm really not picky cmon plx Nintendo!
- I may bet in this market and really want it to resolve YES, but hopefully the criteria are sufficiently objective for that.
- Resolves NO when we're sufficiently far into the next generation for me to have given up hope/it's been released there instead.