Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 26, 04:17 UTC15 avr. 36, 04:11 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)
Manifold MarketsDoes a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill a Pokemon card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2028? (Current: $5.275M for Pikachu Illustrator)
Manifold MarketsWill any Magic card sell for at least $5 million before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).
- In other words, if Nectome succeeds as a business, and someone who bought the card for $20k in 2026 sells the discount to someone else for $60k or more, this resolves YES.
- If May 2036 comes along and I cannot find any evidence of such a sale, it resolves NO.