Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69.2%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète18 août 26, 10:34 UTC23 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves to YES if the user's #1 top artist on their official Spotify Wrapped 2026 recap is categorized primarily under the Metal genre or any of its subgenres.
- It resolves to NO if the top artist belongs to any other genre (Pop, Hip-Hop, Electronic, Indie, etc.), or if the winning artist's primary musical identity is not fundamentally recognized as Metal.
- For context:
- MY Most Listened artists in 2024
- MY Most Listened artists in 2025
Marchés ouverts
Music
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-18.5pt61%
- Yes+18.5pt39%
- Volume total
- 324 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,3 k €
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Dai Dai87.4%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)0.9%
- Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela0.9%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 39,6 k €
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 13.4M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.6M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M+1.0pt99%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 25.5M99%
- Above 22M+2.0pt99%
- Above 22.5M+1.0pt99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Choosin' Texas78.1%
- Dai Dai7.6%
- Sunflower+1.0pt1.9%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,7 k €
KALSHIKATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 19M+1.0pt99%
- Above 18M+1.0pt99%
- Above 14M+1.0pt99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner
- Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Top US Spotify Song 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will my Most Listened artist on Spotify be a Metal Band ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will my Most Listened artist on Spotify be a Metal Band sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will my Most Listened artist on Spotify be a Metal Band doit être résolu le 23 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will my Most Listened artist on Spotify be a Metal Band est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if the user's #1 top artist on their official Spotify Wrapped 2026 recap is categorized primarily under the Metal genre or any of its subgenres.