Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 16:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.4%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
15 oct. 26, 17:03 UTC1 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?
Manifold MarketsWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?
Polymarket#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?
PolymarketWill DeepSeek be removed from the US App Store in 2026?
KalshiUS announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before November 1st
Manifold MarketsRègles
It just reached #1 under free apps, will it stay this way? I will check at 10am PST, if muse is #1 on November 1st, resolves YES.
- Losing #1 prior to the checkpoint will not cause a NO resolution as long as it is #1 at 10:00 AM.