Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 76.7%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 57 minutes
En retard6 oct. 26, 06:46 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Georgia Amendment 2 (nonpartisan probate judge elections) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Montana CI-133 (right of initiative and referendum) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kentucky Amendment 1 (governor pardon limits near elections) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill New Mexico Amendment 2 (combining school and partisan elections) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if Montana CI-132 (CI-132 amends the Montana Constitution to require that judicial elections remain nonpartisan.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the question (Mont.
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
- YES: Judicial elections must stay nonpartisan under the constitution.