Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.4%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 20:35 UTC31 mai 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nord Pool 2028 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
Manifold MarketsMISO Indiana Hub average real-time power price (Week 43)
KalshiWill the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Pool 2027 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if the MISO Indiana Hub day-ahead time-weighted annual average price for calendar year 2028 exceeds US$60/MWh, as reported by MISO and by the Independent Market Monitor (Potomac Economics) in the 2028 State of the Market Report.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing MISO and the IMM time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
