Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète27 mai 26, 17:33 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiWorld's best restaurant in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation officially announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Source of Truth: Official announcements published on NobelPrize.org.
- Timeframe: If the Nobel Foundation announces him as a laureate on or before the market's closing date (1/1/2050), this market will resolve to YES.
- If no such announcement has occurred by the market's close, it will resolve to NO.