Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 17 août 2026.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection

Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Ce marché s'est résolu: No (98.3%)

Résolu: 16 août 2026, 15:10

Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur

CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 98.3%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 jours

Obsolète

8 août 26, 0:2216 août 26, 15:10

Chronologie des Probabilités

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Non

98.3%

Oui

1.7%

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection

Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Ce marché s'est résolu: No (98.3%)

Résolu: 16 août 2026, 15:10

Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur

CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 98.3%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 jours

Obsolète

8 août 26, 0:2216 août 26, 15:10

Chronologie des Probabilités

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Non

98.3%

Oui

1.7%

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 17 août 2026.
Quand Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? doit être résolu le 16 août 2026.
Comment Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

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