Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
74
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
11 sept. 23, 16:13 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI go bankrupt following a major AI market crash before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Roblox go bankrupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter (X) Go Bankrupt Before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketRègles
Manifold is currently a tiny company with potential.
- What do you guys think?
- Will resolve YES if Manifold publicly announces they are going bankrupt.
- Will resolve NO if otherwise.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,4 k €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Manifold is currently a tiny company with potential.