Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.1%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète1 août 23, 09:14 UTC31 déc. 43, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Did he release the paper early to ensure his own Nobel Prize? Will the Nobel committee look poorly on that? Will it matter in any decisions they make? Resolves YES if Kwon Young-Wan is a Nobel recipient by market close.
- Will only resolve NO in advance of closure if
- there is an official statement from the Nobel committee that Kwon Young-Wan Will be specifically excluded from ever receiving a prize.
- Kwon Young-Wan dies before close date, in which case it will close when the following Nobel prices are awarded to ensure he has not been awarded posthumously (resolves YES if he is awarded the Nobel posthumously).
