Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?
El SalvadorOne-OffPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 juin 25, 03:31 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kilmar Abrego Garcia is deported to El Salvador before January 1, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or reputable news outlets reporting on his deportation.
- If no such deportation occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national, entered the United States around 2011, fleeing gang violence in El Salvador.
- In 2019, an immigration judge granted him protection from deportation to El Salvador due to the threats he faced from local gangs.