Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?
Matières premièresOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 13:26 UTC1 juil. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 20 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Kamoa-Kakula's total copper in concentrate production for the calendar year January–December 2027 exceeds 500,000 tonnes (100% basis), as reported in Ivanhoe Mines quarterly production reports.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Settlement is June 30, 2028 to allow time for Q4 2027 production data to be published (Ivanhoe reports quarterly with ~45 day lag).
- The Q4 2027 report is typically available by mid-February 2028.
- Context: The 500,000 tpa target was Ivanhoe's flagship milestone — the point at which Kamoa-Kakula would rank among the world's top 3 copper mines.
- Originally targeted for 2027, flooding in May 2025 and a reserve downgrade in March 2026 pushed the timeline to 2028.
