Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 26, 13:07 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?
KalshiWill Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsJosh Shapiro margin of victory
KalshiPennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Josh Shapiro wins the general election and NO if he loses.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Pennsylvania Department of State (https://www.pa.gov/en/government/how-government-works/elections.html).
- Shapiro announced in January 2026 that he would run for reelection to a second term.
- Shapiro was first elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2022, defeating Republican Doug Mastriano by 15 points.
