Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 26, 03:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
FutuurWill JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached over Epstein files and will JD Vance assume the role?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff JD Vance, the 50th vice president of the United States, assumes presidential powers at any point for any duration, even temporarily, in 2026.
- This includes:
- The Vice President becoming President in case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation
- The Vice President assuming powers as Acting President when the President transmits a written declaration of inability to discharge the powers and duties of his office
- The Vice President immediately assuming the powers and duties of the office as Acting President when the Vice President and a majority of principal officers of the executive departments transmit a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office
