Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin America1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 23, 17:42 UTC10 déc. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurRègles
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.
- If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
- His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia.
- This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
- I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think.
- I do not plan to bet on this market.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president? doit être résolu le 10 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.