Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.1%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 août 26, 15:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
September 8 Houston vs Philadelphia
Robinhood (Rothera)First snow of the 2026 season
PolymarketWill Southern California experience snow this winter?
Manifold MarketsHow much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027?
Manifold MarketsWaymo handles Denver snow?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if the National Weather Service (NWS) records any official snowfall (including a trace, denoted as "T") at Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) during the month of September 2026 (September 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026).
- If no snowfall (including trace amounts) is officially recorded at IAH during this timeframe, the market will resolve to No. The primary source of truth will be the monthly climate report (CLMIAH / CF6IAH) for Houston Intercontinental, accessible via the NWS Houston/Galveston Climate Portal.
- Snowfall in Houston, Texas, is highly unusual even during the winter months, with measurable snow occurring on average only once every 4.5 years.
- Houston's climate is humid subtropical, and September typically features average high temperatures of around 90°F (32°C) and average lows of 73°F (23°C).
Marchés ouverts
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 154,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 148,6 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 92,3 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 79,3 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will it Snow in September in Houston? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will it Snow in September in Houston? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will it Snow in September in Houston? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will it Snow in September in Houston? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria