Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.4%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 26, 05:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWhat will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).
- Rewatches will count (though i dont do that often).
- I wont trade on this market.
Marchés ouverts
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 314,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 586,3 €
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 76,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 455,5 €
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,1 €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will i watch 100 movies this year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will i watch 100 movies this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will i watch 100 movies this year? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will i watch 100 movies this year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).