Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète13 nov. 23, 03:32 UTC31 déc. 47, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the USA become a province of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill either the Yukon Territory or Northwest Territories become an official province of Canada by EOY2055?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
PolymarketHong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2046.
- This is a much tighter version of this market
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9 k €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2047.
- Comment Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2046.