Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (92.8%)
Résolu: 10 août 2026, 06:04
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.8%
Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 jours
Obsolète5 août 26, 6:5210 août 26, 3:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes7.2%
No92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Règles
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations).
- General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement).
- General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 10 août 2026.
- Quand Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? doit être résolu le 10 août 2026.
- Comment Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.