Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.4%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
7 avr. 26, 14:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2026, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
