Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.5%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète27 janv. 26, 15:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution Criteria
- GTA VI is currently scheduled to release on Thursday, November 19, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Rockstar Games officially announces a new release date after January 27, 2026 that is later than November 19, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from Rockstar Games via their official newswire.
- This market resolves NO if the game launches on or before November 19, 2026.
- GTA 6 was originally targeted for a 2025 release date before it was delayed to May 26, 2026, and then delayed again to November 19, 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,6 k €
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+12.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 57,1 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,1 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 306,3 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+35.0pt78%
- 70-80M-35.3pt21%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will GTAVI Get Delayed Again? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will GTAVI Get Delayed Again? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will GTAVI Get Delayed Again? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will GTAVI Get Delayed Again? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria