Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 24, 21:35 UTC3 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?
Manifold MarketsWill Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?
Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRègles
Inspired by the video by Morj: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Pa0AQf1vAuA.
- Franky needs to be heavily involved in creating a ship or a weapon and this needs to based on the Pluton blueprints that he previously owned or in some other way heavily related to Pluton.
- Arcs are specified according to the wiki.
- Elbaph started on 1126 and will end when the wiki claims.
- Will resolve to No after the arc if the conditions have not yet been meet.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece) doit être résolu le 3 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Inspired by the video by Morj: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Pa0AQf1vAuA.