Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 82.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète27 juin 26, 10:57 UTC31 déc. 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?
Manifold MarketsMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point, Elon Musk's net worth is officially recorded at $1.5 trillion USD or higher by either of the following trackers:
- Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index
- If neither tracker reports Musk's net worth reaching or exceeding $1.5 trillion by Elon Musk's death, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one of the tracking indexes is permanently discontinued or becomes inaccessible, the remaining index will serve as the sole source of truth.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2099.
- Comment Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria