Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète2 mars 25, 19:03 UTC31 déc. 77, 18:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be assassinated by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRègles
This will resolve YES if the future passing (all of us will go, eventually) of Elon Musk will be a direct result of an assassination attempt on him.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk be assassinated? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk be assassinated? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk be assassinated? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2077.
- Comment Will Elon Musk be assassinated? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This will resolve YES if the future passing (all of us will go, eventually) of Elon Musk will be a direct result of an assassination attempt on him.