Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateAdoptionTech3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.2%
Prévisionnistes
72
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète16 août 22, 14:03 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves to YES if any year before 2030 sees AT LEAST 50% (unrounded) market share by fully electrified vehicles according to Kelly Blue Book.
- Resolves NO if otherwise (no one year from now until 2030 sees at least 50% market share by fully electrified vehicles).
- "Light vehicles" here means non-commercial light vehicles (e.g., sedans, light trucks, crossovers, etc.).
- HEVs (hybrid electric vehicles) and PHEVs (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles) are EXCLUDED from the EV market share counts; only fully electric vehicles are counted.
- For some context, in Q2 of this year, fully electrified vehicles accounted for 5.6% of all vehicles purchased, compared to 2.7% in Q2 of 2021.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to YES if any year before 2030 sees AT LEAST 50% (unrounded) market share by fully electrified vehicles according to Kelly Blue Book.