Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète31 déc. 23, 22:36 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive any of his children?
Manifold MarketsWho will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).
