Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 16:19 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ashley Moody win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
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ForecastExHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if a Democratic candidate wins the November 3, 2026 special election to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate term.
- The market resolves NO if a Republican candidate wins.
- The primary election will be held August 18, 2026, with the general election on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections.
- The special election was triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation to become United States Secretary of State in President Donald Trump's second administration.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria