Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20269j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.5%
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Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 16:19 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill Ashley Moody win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Angie Nixon win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
KalshiTexas Governor winner?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if a Democratic candidate wins the November 3, 2026 special election to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate term.
- The market resolves NO if a Republican candidate wins.
- The primary election will be held August 18, 2026, with the general election on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections.
- The special election was triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation to become United States Secretary of State in President Donald Trump's second administration.