Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection27jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 80.8%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète17 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Democratic candidate Josh Turek wins the highest number of individual votes in Dubuque County, Iowa, in the United States Senate election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican Ashley Hinson or Libertarian Thomas Laehn) wins the highest number of votes in the county, or in the event of a tie.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If certified results are delayed, unofficial results or credible major media calls (e.g., Associated Press) may be used for resolution once 100% of precincts in Dubuque County have reported.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the next occurrence of this election.
