Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 avr. 26, 20:43 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Texas run out of water before 2030?
Manifold MarketsLake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
KalshiIn case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Inspired by: https://www.kut.org/energy-environment/2026-04-23/corpus-christi-texas-water-emergency-crisis-restrictions
- This market will resolve Yes if a household or business within Corpus Christi's water system has its water cutoff for reaons of overconsumption or an actual inability for the minipial water source to provide.
- This could happen in one of two scenarios:
- A regulation is passed and enforced that cuts off water for households or businesses for reasons of overconsumption.
- The city runs low enough on available water that a household or business is unable to draw water for organic reasons.
- Either case requires substantive corroborating evidence from the household/business and the city to verify that it happened.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+29.0pt48.6%
- 80° to 81°+4.0pt39.5%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 303,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56.8% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Inspired by: https://www.kut.org/energy-environment/2026-04-23/corpus-christi-texas-water-emergency-crisis-restrictions