Will commercial fusion plants deliver grid electricity from seawater deuterium by EOY 2035?
MétéoOne-Off9a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète22 févr. 26, 21:53 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Australia no longer burn fossil fuels for grid electricity?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will we have abundant clean energy from seawater-fusion power plants on the grid by EOY 2035?
- Credible sources (CFS/DOE announcements, Bloomberg/Reuters, independent audits, or major scientific reports) confirm at least one fusion plant is grid-connected and has supplied net electricity commercially by Dec 31, 2035.
- Abundant clean energy” is demonstrated by the plant operating at meaningful commercial scale (>50 MW) and showing the clear path to dramatically lower energy costs.