Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
One-OffWeather2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 74%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 01:05 UTC26 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
Marchés ouverts
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 622,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+69.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-59.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-10.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- 108,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+72.0pt97%
- 23°C-8.5pt2%
- 24°C-0.8pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.0pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? doit être résolu le 26 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.