Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète5 juin 25, 18:51 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
Manifold MarketsClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketWill Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?
Manifold MarketsClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating is above 60% at the end of December 2027.
- The approval rating will be determined based on the most recent poll conducted by a reputable polling organization, such as Enkoll, El Financiero, or Mitofsky, published within the last month of 2027.
- If multiple polls conducted on an identical or nearly identical set of days are available, the average of these polls will be used to determine the outcome.